MLB Free Daily Picks Sep 8th Ratings

BOS @ TOR Ratings have TOR 2.23 Bookmakers 1.74 (-12.79%)

PHI @ MIL Ratings have MIl 1.80 Bookmakers 2.31 (+12.18)

CLE @ CWS Ratings have CWS 2.00 Bookmakers 1.67 (-9.88%)

NYY @ BAL Ratings have BAL 2.35 Bookmakers 2.75 (+6.08%)

Mr Stretch’s pick for today is Boston.

BOS @ TOR Ratings have TOR 2.23 Ratings 1.74 (-12.79%)

This will be the final game of 4 game series played in Toronto. Toronto won 1-0 on Monday, Boston won 14-0 on Tuesday and Toronto won 11-10 last night. Boston leads the season series 9-6.

Jacoby Ellsbury, Adrian Gonzalez and David Ortiz each homered yesterday, but Daniel Bard could not hold a two-run lead as Toronto scored five times in the eighth inning. That was only the third time Boston didn’t win in 76 games they were leading after seven innings of play.

Boston outscored Toronto 68-34 at Rogers Centre this year.

Ricky Romero is starting for Toronto. He is 13-10, 2.97 ERA in 28 starts this season. Romero has allowed 11 runs, 17 hits and eight walks in 8.2 innings while losing his two starts against Boston this year. He is is 0-3, 10.62 ERA in 5 career home starts vs Boston and Toronto lost all of them.

David Ortiz, 10 for 26 with five doubles and one homer versus Romero, has hit .481 with eight homers and 20 RBI’s in his last 21 games overall. Jacoby Ellsbury, 7 for 17 with two doubles and a homer against Romero, had four hits with three RBI’s yesterday and is batting .360 during a 12-game hitting streak.

Boston’s starter will be Andrew Miller, who is 6-2, 5.27 ERA in 11 starts and 2 relief appearances this year. He had a bad day in his last appearance 6 days ago against Texas. He has allowed six runs and walked four in just 1.1 innings. Miller had yielded one run and six hits over 11.2 innings while winning his previous two starts. Boston is 4-0 in Miller’s last 4 road starts, 7-0 in Miller’s last 7 starts vs. a team with a losing record, 4-0 in Miller’s last 4 road starts vs. a team with a losing record and 5-1 in Miller’s last 6 starts.

Since Miller is a left-handed pitcher it’s important to notice that Toronto hasn’t performed well against lefties lately. Toronto is 1-6 in their last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter and 0-4 in their last 4 home games vs. a left-handed starter.

Boston is 37-17 in their last 54 road games and 14-6 in the last 20 meetings in Toronto.