MLB Daily Picks – FREE pick for September 8th is Atlanta
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MLB Daily Picks FREE pick of the day is Atlanta:
Fixture: Atlanta @ New York Mets
Time/Date: 4:05 PM ET, September 8, 2012
Odds: -156 (1.64 in decimal odds) @ Pinnacle
This will be the second game of 3 game series played in New York. Atlanta won 3-0 last night (their 3rd straight shutout) and they are leading the season series 8-5, outscoring the Mets 71-48.
Atlanta is 2nd in National League East with 79-60 record. They are second best road team in majors with only 28 losses in 67 road games. They are on a 3-game winning streak. New York Mets are 4th in National League East with 65-73 record, 13.5 games behind Atlanta.
Atlanta is 5-1 in their last 6 overall, while New York Mets are 1-8 in their last 9 games as a home underdog and 1-11 in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Kris Medlen will be starting for Atlanta today. He is 7-1, 1.56 ERA after 7 starts and 38 relief appearances in 2012. Medlen is 6-0, 0.54 ERA in 7 starts since joining the rotation July 31. He hasn’t allowed a single run in his last 4 outings, all wins. In 104 innings of work he has allowed only 18 earned runs while striking out 86. Medlen leads MLB with a 0.59 ERA since the All-Star break. He is spectacular on the road going 4-0, 1.33 ERA in 3 starts and 21 relief appearances. Atlanta is 5-0 in Medlen’s last 5 starts as a road favorite, 9-0 in Medlen’s last 9 starts vs. National League East teams, 10-1 in Medlen’s last 11 road starts and 20-1 in Medlen’s last 21 starts.
The Mets are sending out Jeremy Hefner, who is 2-5, 4.52 ERA in 9 starts and 12 relief appearances this season. He is 2-4, 4.64 ERA in nine starts. Hefner pitched 3.2 innings of relief against Atlanta in Medlen’s win last month, giving up a solo homer. He is winless since August 4.
Atlanta is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings against the Mets and I expect them to win today.