MLB Daily Picks – FREE pick for September 5th is Baltimore
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MLB Daily Picks FREE pick of the day is Baltimore:
Fixture: Baltimore @ Toronto
Time/Date: 7:07 PM ET, September 5, 2012
Odds: +101 (2.01 in decimal odds) @ 5Dimes
This will be the final game of 3 game series played in Toronto. Baltimore won 4-0 on Monday and 12-0 last night. Baltimore is leading the season series 9-4, outscoring Toronto 64-45.
After yesterdays victory Baltimore is now sharing the lead of American League East with New York Yankees. Both teams have the 76-59 record. Baltimore is on a 3-game winning streak and they are 21-8 in their last 29 overall. Baltimore is the best road team in American League with just 29 losses in 68 away games. Toronto is last in American League East with 60-75 record. They are on a 4-game losing streak.
Baltimore’s first baseman Mark Reynolds has 5 homers and 11 RBI’s over his last four games.
Miguel Gonzalez will be starting for Baltimore tonight. He is 6-3, 3.31 ERA after 10 starts and 3 relief appearances in his rookie season. He was impressive in his last start 6 days ago in New York against the Yankees. He threw 7 scoreless innings while striking out 9. He is 3-1, .91 ERA in his last 5 starts. Gonzalez gave up one run in 3.1 innings of relief in his only appearance against Toronto on May 29. Morrow has been much better on the road than at home. He is 2-2, 4.73 ERA at home, but on the road he is 4-1, 2.51 ERA. Baltimore is 5-1 in Gonzalez’s last 6 road starts.
Toronto’s starter will be Brandon Morrow, who is 8-5, 2.93 ERA in 15 starts this season. He was on a disabled list for 2.5 months and returned August 25 in a game at Baltimore. He recorded a loss allowing 2 earned runs and 1 walk in 4.2 innings of work. He was better in his next start 6 days ago against Tampa Bay where he recorded a win allowing 1 earned run in 6.2 innings. Toronto is 1-4 in Morrow’s last 5 starts as a home favorite of -110 to -150.
Baltimore is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings against Toronto and I expect them to win tonight.